TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1? (Higher Brackets)
polymarket

How many views will the next MrBeast video get in week 1?

Volume:
$93,919

150M+

 - Polymarket

150M+ - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 2:43 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

150M+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$39,006
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

110-120M

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,198
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

140-150M

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,738
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

130-140M

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,047
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

120-130M

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,297
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<110M

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,633
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of views the most recent YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers only to the video "Eat Everything In A Grocery Store, Win $1,000,000" by MrBeast (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=plN7JMbadRg).

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of views the most recent YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers only to the video "Eat Everything In A Grocery Store, Win $1,000,000" by MrBeast (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=plN7JMbadRg).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the MrBeast video views market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the total volume for this market is $93,919, with $3,888 traded in the last 24 hours. Users can see how the probabilities of different view count ranges are evolving as traders buy and sell shares. The dashboard provides a real-time view of market sentiment regarding the anticipated performance of the next MrBeast video, allowing participants to assess the collective prediction.

Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals interesting insights into collective intelligence. While analysts often provide point estimates for the number of views, this market allows for a probabilistic assessment across a range of outcomes. Currently, the market suggests a higher probability of the video exceeding certain view thresholds than some initial analyst predictions indicated. This difference could stem from the market’s ability to incorporate a wider range of factors and continuously update expectations based on new information, offering a dynamic alternative to static forecasts.

This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official view count for the next MrBeast video during its first week is verifiable from credible public reporting. The view count will be sourced from YouTube Analytics and verified against publicly available data. The market will settle to the bracket that accurately reflects the total number of views the video receives within the specified timeframe, providing a clear and objective determination of the winning outcome based on publicly available information.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before its resolution. Any news regarding the content of the upcoming MrBeast video, such as the scale of the challenge or the involvement of prominent figures, could influence trader sentiment. Changes in MrBeast’s subscriber count or engagement rates on previous videos could also be impactful. Furthermore, broader trends in YouTube viewership or shifts in audience preferences could affect expectations, causing the market to adjust its probabilities as new information becomes available.