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417,059

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# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
polymarket

# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?

Volume:
$346,135

100M+

 - Polymarket

100M+ - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 2:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

100M+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$107,770
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

80-90M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63,803
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

90-100M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$61,375
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

70-80M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$49,142
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60-70M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,358
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

50-60M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,811
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<50M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,877
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Intro

This market tracks whether MrBeast’s next YouTube video will achieve at least 100 million views within its first week of release. Currently, the leading outcome – that the video *will* reach 100 million views – is trading at 100.0% on Polymarket, with the resolution source being the official ‘views’ counter on MrBeast’s YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast). A secondary outcome, that the video will get between 80 and 90 million views in week 1, is at 0.1%. Keep an eye on MrBeast’s YouTube channel for the release of his next video, as the market will resolve based on views accumulated within 7 days of its posting, with a final resolution date estimate of 2026-10-11.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence stacks up against expert opinion. Currently, the prevailing sentiment in this market suggests a view count that may differ from initial analyst projections. While analysts often rely on historical data and channel growth, this market incorporates a wider range of factors, including potential video content, trending topics, and the unpredictable nature of viral videos. Discrepancies between the two can highlight overlooked variables or differing interpretations of available data, offering a more nuanced view of the potential outcome.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing different view count ranges for the next MrBeast video. The price of each share reflects the market's probability assessment of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more trades occur, the prices adjust, providing a real-time indication of market sentiment. Traders are effectively betting on their belief of the final view count, and the resulting price discovery process determines the implied probability of each outcome.

This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final view count for the next MrBeast video is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the publicly available view count reported by YouTube one week after the video's initial release. This timeframe allows for accurate data collection and verification, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process. The market will then settle based on which view count range the final number falls into, as defined by the market’s parameters.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Early previews or leaks of the video's content could dramatically shift expectations. Major announcements from MrBeast himself, such as collaborations with other popular creators, would likely impact the predicted view count. Unexpected trending topics or viral challenges coinciding with the video's release could also play a role. Finally, any news regarding YouTube's algorithm or changes to video promotion policies could influence the market's assessment of potential reach and viewership.