TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?
polymarket

# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?

Volume:
$116,864

25–30M

 - Polymarket

25–30M - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 23, 2026

Closed: Aug 23, 2:02 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

25–30M

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$18,251
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

20–25M

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,547
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

15–20M

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,505
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40M+

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,706
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30–35M

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,328
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

35–40M

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,372
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<15M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,156
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard tracks the latest odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for the MrBeast day-one views market. It shows how traders are betting on whether the next MrBeast video will hit specific view milestones on its first day of release. The interface updates in real time, reflecting shifts in market sentiment as new information emerges.

Currently, prediction market odds imply a strong likelihood that the next MrBeast video will land within a specific view range on day one. This contrasts with some analyst forecasts, which may be more conservative or optimistic depending on recent trends in MrBeast's channel performance and broader YouTube viewing patterns. Market odds reflect real-time trader sentiment and can diverge from traditional forecasts.

This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. Specifically, the official YouTube view count for the video on its first day will determine whether it falls into the predicted range or not. The result will be finalized once the data is publicly available and can be independently verified.

Several signals could shift this market before resolution. Announcements about the video's release date, pre-release teasers from MrBeast, and broader YouTube or social media trends may influence trader sentiment. Additionally, any unexpected changes in viewer behavior — such as a major platform algorithm update or a competing viral event — could also impact expectations and move the market odds meaningfully.