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$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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# of ChatGPT Outage Days in August 2026?
polymarket

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in August 2026?

Volume:
$9,804

<3

 - Polymarket

<3 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 1, 2026

Closed: Sep 1, 3:00 AM EST

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Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

<3

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,025
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

6+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,730
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

4

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,287
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

3

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,143
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$619
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to the number of calendar days during the specified month (ET) on which OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage'. ChatGPT will be considered to have experienced a qualifying incident on a given day if the OpenAI Status Page for ChatGPT (status.openai.com) displays that day’s status box as a shade of red indicating Partial/Full Outage once all qualifying day’s status boxes are finalized. (green indicates "No incidents", yellow indicates "Degraded performance"). Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box is added on the Status Page. This market will remain open until all qualifying day’s status boxes are finalized. Revisions that change an incident’s impact classification to or from 'Partial/Full Outage' will be considered if the revision is published within this market’s timeframe. This market will resolve once all relevant days are finalized, provided no incident that began during the specified timeframe is ongoing. In case of an ongoing incident the market will remain open until the incident is marked as “Resolved” and all relevant data has been released. If the incident in question is not resolved or all relevant data has not been released by the end of the seventh day after the specified timeframe, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the number of calendar days during the specified month (ET) on which OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage'. ChatGPT will be considered to have experienced a qualifying incident on a given day if the OpenAI Status Page for ChatGPT (status.openai.com) displays that day’s status box as a shade of red indicating Partial/Full Outage once all qualifying day’s status boxes are finalized. (green indicates "No incidents", yellow indicates "Degraded performance"). Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box is added on the Status Page. This market will remain open until all qualifying day’s status boxes are finalized. Revisions that change an incident’s impact classification to or from 'Partial/Full Outage' will be considered if the revision is published within this market’s timeframe. This market will resolve once all relevant days are finalized, provided no incident that began during the specified timeframe is ongoing. In case of an ongoing incident the market will remain open until the incident is marked as “Resolved” and all relevant data has been released. If the incident in question is not resolved or all relevant data has not been released by the end of the seventh day after the specified timeframe, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the ChatGPT outage days market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $106. It shows how traders on Polymarket are pricing the likelihood of different numbers of outages occurring during August 2026. The interface updates continuously to reflect market sentiment and trading activity, giving users a clear view of where the market stands at any moment.

This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final count of outages during August will determine which market position is correct, closing all bets on that date. No further trading or changes are possible after resolution, locking in the market result based on real-world occurrences.

News about software updates, cyberattacks, or infrastructure issues involving the service could shift this market significantly. Any announcement from the provider about planned maintenance or unexpected downtime may cause rapid price changes. Additionally, broader trends in service reliability or user reports circulating in media and tech communities often influence trader sentiment leading up to Aug 31, 2026.