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NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on November 2?
polymarket

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on November 2?

Oct 30, 2026, 8:00 AM EST - Nov 2, 2026, 4:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$3,623
Volume 24h:
$3,177
901%
Liquidity:
$5,007
922%
Open interest:
$1,565N/A

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on November 2?

 - Polymarket

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on November 2? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 2, 2026

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on November 2?

17%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
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Trade on Polymarket

At 0.1¢ buys you 100,000 shares | Odds: 17% Total Payout: $100,000 | Net Profit: $99,900 Multiplier: 1000.00x | ROI: 99,900% | APY: N/A
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
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Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
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polymarket

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on November 2?

Trade
17%
31%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$5,007
$3,623
712%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Disputed
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on November 2, 2026 is higher than the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on November 2, 2026 is lower than the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on November 2, 2026 is higher than the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on November 2, 2026 is lower than the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the NVIDIA stock market tracks the current odds that the stock will be up or down on November 2nd. It displays the implied probability of each outcome, reflecting the collective predictions of traders on the platform. You can also view the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $3,177, and the total volume traded to date, which is $3,623. This provides a real-time view of market sentiment regarding NVIDIA’s future price movement.

Currently, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional analyst forecasts for NVIDIA. While many analysts maintain a positive outlook on the stock, this market reflects a more nuanced view, incorporating a probability for both upward and downward price movement. It’s important to remember that analyst predictions are often based on fundamental analysis and long-term projections, whereas this market represents a short-term forecast driven by traders reacting to the latest news and information. This difference in methodology can lead to varying viewpoints on the stock’s trajectory.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether NVIDIA’s stock will be up or down on November 2nd. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price will fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the market’s expectations. The current implied probability of the stock being up is 17.0%.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of NVIDIA stock on November 2nd will be used to determine whether the market settles in favor of “Up” or “Down”. If the closing price is higher than the opening price on that date, the market will resolve to “Up”; otherwise, it will resolve to “Down”. The resolution will be based on widely available financial data, ensuring transparency and accuracy.

Several key signals or events could significantly impact this market before Nov 2, 2026. Major catalysts include NVIDIA’s quarterly earnings reports, any significant announcements regarding new product launches or partnerships, and broader macroeconomic factors affecting the technology sector. Unexpected news related to supply chain disruptions, regulatory changes, or competitor actions could also influence trader sentiment and shift the odds. Furthermore, overall market volatility and investor risk appetite will play a role in how this market evolves in the coming weeks.