TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Other
NVIDIA (NVDA) closes week of Sep 21 at ___?
polymarket

How will NVIDIA (NVDA) close Sep 21?

Volume:
$6,159

$225-$230

 - Polymarket

$225-$230 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 25, 2026

Closed: Sep 25, 4:24 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$225-$230

View
100%
77%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$487
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$220-$225

0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,023
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<$200

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$178
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$200-$205

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$178
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$230-$235

0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$134
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$215-$220

0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$205-$210

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$210-$215

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$235-$240

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$240-$245

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>$245

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the NVIDIA stock price market tracks the current implied probability of various price ranges for NVIDIA (NVDA) stock at the close of trading the week of September 21. You can view the odds for different outcomes, explore the price history of this market, and see the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $3,465. Total volume for this market is $6,149. This allows traders to assess market sentiment and potential price movements before the resolution date.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast of where NVIDIA’s stock price will land at the end of the week of September 21. This differs from traditional analyst forecasts, which are often based on fundamental analysis and modeling. While analysts provide price targets, this market represents a real-money view of what traders believe will happen. It’s a way to see how the wisdom of the crowd compares to expert opinions on NVIDIA’s future performance, providing a unique perspective on market expectations.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different possible outcomes. The price of each share reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular price range is likely, the higher the price of shares representing that range will climb. This creates a dynamic market where prices adjust in real-time based on collective intelligence.

This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the closing price of NVIDIA (NVDA) stock for the week of September 21 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will pay out to the shares representing the correct price range at the close of trading on Friday, September 25. Traders should monitor news and market data leading up to this date to stay informed about potential price movements that could influence the outcome of this market.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major news regarding NVIDIA's financial performance, new product announcements, or changes in the overall semiconductor industry outlook could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected macroeconomic data releases, such as inflation reports or interest rate decisions, could also influence the stock price. Additionally, any significant shifts in investor confidence or broader market trends could cause fluctuations in this market as traders adjust their positions based on the latest information.