TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on August 10?
polymarket

NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on August 10?

Volume:
$6,895

$210

 - Polymarket

$210 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 10, 2026

Closed: Aug 10, 4:17 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$210

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$240
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$215

100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$167
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$220

0%
95%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,209
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$225

0%
61%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$141
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$230

0%
23%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$137
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on August 10, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on August 10, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the NVDA August price market shows real-time odds, price trends, and 24-hour volume on Polymarket. It tracks how traders on Polymarket are pricing the likelihood that NVIDIA stock will finish above a specific level by August 10. You can see current chances, historical price movement, and volume of $6,890 to understand market sentiment for this prediction.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds offer a real-time aggregate of trader expectations and betting patterns. While analysts may issue target prices or probability assessments based on fundamentals and technicals, this market reflects the crowd-sourced view shaped by immediate market sentiment, recent news, and trading dynamics. The difference can highlight where retail traders diverge from institutional outlooks.

This market resolves around Aug 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final closing price of NVIDIA on that day will determine whether the 'above' or 'below' contract is the winner, based on standard market data sources. Traders should watch for official market close figures to confirm the result.

Key signals include NVIDIA earnings reports, product announcements, broader tech sector moves, and macroeconomic data affecting semiconductor demand. Any surprise guidance, partnership news, or regulatory updates could shift trader sentiment quickly. Geopolitical tensions or shifts in AI investment trends may also influence this market as August approaches. Keep an eye on trading volume spikes for real-time sentiment cues.