TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 11:03 PM EST
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Opinion
Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting NVIDIA (NVDA), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which NVIDIA (NVDA) trades governs.
Opinion
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting NVIDIA (NVDA), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which NVIDIA (NVDA) trades governs.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market traders are expressing their views on the NVIDIA stock price, and these odds can be compared to forecasts from financial analysts. It's important to note that analysts often provide a range of potential outcomes, while this market focuses on a binary outcome – whether the stock will be above a specific price on the resolution date. Discrepancies between the two can highlight areas where the market anticipates different performance than traditional analysis suggests, potentially reflecting factors not fully captured in standard models. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these contracts reflects the collective expectation of all participants. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust, providing a real-time assessment of the probability. The current volume of $0 indicates the level of interest in this market, and the 24-hour volume of $0 shows recent trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether the NVIDIA (NVDA) stock price closes above a predetermined level on October 19, 2026. The final price will be sourced from a widely recognized financial data provider, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the verified outcome.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 19, 2026. Major announcements from NVIDIA regarding earnings, new product releases, or changes in market share could all impact trader sentiment. Broader economic factors, such as interest rate changes or shifts in the technology sector, could also play a role. Unexpected news related to competitors or regulatory changes impacting the semiconductor industry could also cause shifts in the odds. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market.
