TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 1:15 PM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the NVDA/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the NVDA/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the NVDA/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/nvda-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink NVDA/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-30T17:00:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the NVDA/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the NVDA/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the NVDA/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/nvda-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink NVDA/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-30T17:00:00Z
Currently, it's important to note that prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of information than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts rely on financial modeling and company reports, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, representing what traders believe will happen. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, as prediction markets can sometimes incorporate information that isn't yet reflected in standard financial analysis. The question is whether traders anticipate events before analysts do, or vice versa.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction where traders buy and sell predictions, adjusting the odds based on their expectations. The price reflects the probability of the NVIDIA stock closing higher or lower by the specified time. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe the stock will go up, the higher the price for 'Up' predictions will climb, and conversely, the more traders anticipate a decline, the higher the price for 'Down' predictions will become. This dynamic pricing mechanism creates a real-time assessment of market sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether the NVIDIA stock price has increased or decreased between 1:00 PM and 1:15 PM ET on October 30th. The final price at that time will determine whether the 'Up' or 'Down' prediction wins. Traders will be able to see the verified result on Predict following the close of trading.
Several factors could significantly move this market before Oct 30, 2026. Major news announcements regarding NVIDIA's earnings, new product releases, or changes in key partnerships would likely have a substantial impact. Broader market trends, such as overall economic data or shifts in investor sentiment towards the technology sector, could also play a role. Unexpected geopolitical events or significant changes in interest rates could also influence the NVIDIA stock market, leading to shifts in prediction market odds as traders react to new information.