TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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NVIDIA Corporation Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-10AM ET
predict

Will NVIDIA Corporation be up or down?

Volume:
$94

NVIDIA Corporation Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-10AM ET

 - Predict

NVIDIA Corporation Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-10AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 29, 2026

Closed: Oct 29, 10:00 AM EST

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NVIDIA Corporation Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-10AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$1
$94
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the NVDA/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the NVDA/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the NVDA/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/nvda-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink NVDA/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-29T13:45:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the NVDA/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the NVDA/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the NVDA/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/nvda-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink NVDA/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-29T13:45:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the NVIDIA stock market tracks the current odds of the stock price going up or down between 9:45 AM and 10:00 AM ET on October 29th. You’ll find a price history chart displaying how the probabilities have shifted over time, along with the total volume traded in this market, currently at $94. The 24-hour volume is also displayed, showing $94 worth of trades in the last day. This allows traders to quickly assess market sentiment and activity.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may provide price targets and ratings based on fundamental and technical analysis, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, representing a real-money view of the likelihood of a price increase or decrease within a very specific timeframe. Discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies, time horizons, and the inclusion of information not readily available to analysts. It’s interesting to compare how traders weigh short-term volatility against longer-term growth potential.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the NVIDIA stock will be up or down during the specified time window. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe the stock will go up, the higher the price of 'Up' contracts will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its forecast.

This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of NVIDIA stock between 9:45 AM and 10:00 AM ET on October 29th will determine whether the 'Up' or 'Down' outcome is declared the winner. The resolution will be based on publicly available financial data, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the result. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Predict following the event.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 29, 2026. Unexpected news regarding NVIDIA’s earnings, new product announcements, or changes in analyst ratings could all impact trader sentiment. Broader market trends, such as overall economic data releases or shifts in investor risk appetite, could also play a role. Finally, any significant news related to the semiconductor industry or NVIDIA’s competitors could influence the perceived probability of the stock going up or down during the specified timeframe.