TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

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Kalshi:

63%

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NVIDIA Corporation Up or Down - October 29, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
predict

Will NVIDIA Corporation be up or down?

Volume:
$215

NVIDIA Corporation Up or Down - October 29, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

 - Predict

NVIDIA Corporation Up or Down - October 29, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 29, 2026

Closed: Oct 29, 3:45 PM EST

predict

Predict

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predict

NVIDIA Corporation Up or Down - October 29, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$114
$215
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the NVDA/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the NVDA/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the NVDA/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/nvda-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink NVDA/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-29T19:30:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the NVDA/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the NVDA/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the NVDA/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/nvda-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink NVDA/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-29T19:30:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the NVIDIA stock market tracks the current odds of the stock going up or down, along with a price history chart illustrating how those odds have shifted over time. You’ll also find the 24-hour trading volume displayed, currently at $215. This provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likelihood of NVIDIA’s stock price movement leading up to the event. The total volume traded on this market is $215, indicating overall interest in this prediction.

Currently, the collective wisdom of traders on Predict offers a distinct perspective compared to traditional analyst forecasts for NVIDIA. While analysts often provide point estimates or ratings (buy, sell, hold), this market represents a probabilistic forecast – a direct assessment of the *likelihood* of the stock increasing or decreasing in value. It’s common to see divergences between prediction market probabilities and analyst opinions, as traders weigh different information and incentives. This market provides a unique, forward-looking signal that isn't always captured in standard financial analysis.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether NVIDIA’s stock will be up or down by the specified time. The price of these contracts reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe the stock will go up, the higher the price of the “up” contract, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information from a diverse range of participants, creating a real-time forecast.

This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether the NVIDIA stock price at 3:30PM-3:45PM ET on October 29th is higher or lower than its price at the start of the trading day. The final price will be sourced from a reputable financial data provider, ensuring an objective determination of whether the market settles on “up” or “down”.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 29, 2026. Major company announcements from NVIDIA, such as earnings reports, product launches, or significant partnerships, would likely cause price swings. Broader market trends, including overall economic data releases or shifts in investor sentiment towards the technology sector, could also play a role. Unexpected news related to key competitors or regulatory changes impacting the semiconductor industry could also move this market. Any developments that alter the perceived future prospects of NVIDIA will be reflected in the trading activity.