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NVIDIA Corporation Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
predict

Will NVIDIA Corporation be up or down?

Volume:
$14

NVIDIA Corporation Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

 - Predict

NVIDIA Corporation Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 10:30 AM EST

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Predict

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NVIDIA Corporation Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$114
$14
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the NVDA/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the NVDA/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the NVDA/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/nvda-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink NVDA/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-26T14:15:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the NVDA/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the NVDA/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the NVDA/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/nvda-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink NVDA/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-26T14:15:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the NVIDIA stock market tracks the current odds of the stock closing up or down between 10:15 AM and 10:30 AM ET on October 26th. You’ll find a price history showing how the probabilities have shifted over time, along with the total volume traded in this market, currently at $14, and the 24-hour volume, which is $14. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and see how much activity is occurring around this specific event.

Currently, it’s important to note that prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, representing what traders believe will happen with the NVIDIA stock. This differs from traditional analyst forecasts, which are based on individual research and models. While analysts may offer price targets and ratings, this market provides a real-time assessment of probability based on actual money at stake. It's a different signal than a poll or expert opinion, offering a view of what people are willing to bet on.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the NVIDIA stock will close up or down within the specified timeframe. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective prediction of the participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the probability of the 'up' outcome, with the 'down' outcome being the inverse. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of NVIDIA stock between 10:15 AM and 10:30 AM ET on October 26th will determine whether the 'up' or 'down' outcome is realized. The resolution will be based on publicly available financial data, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future markets.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 26, 2026. Unexpected news regarding NVIDIA’s earnings, new product announcements, or major shifts in the broader technology sector could all cause the odds to shift. Macroeconomic data releases, such as inflation reports or interest rate decisions, could also impact investor sentiment and, consequently, the price of NVIDIA stock. Any significant news event impacting the semiconductor industry or overall market confidence could move this market substantially.