TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

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2,984,640,614

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$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

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PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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NVIDIA Corporation Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
predict

Will NVIDIA Corporation be up or down?

Volume:
$140

NVIDIA Corporation Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

 - Predict

NVIDIA Corporation Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 3:30 PM EST

predict

Predict

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predict

NVIDIA Corporation Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$2
$140
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the NVDA/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the NVDA/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the NVDA/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/nvda-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink NVDA/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T19:15:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the NVDA/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the NVDA/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the NVDA/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/nvda-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink NVDA/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T19:15:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the NVIDIA stock market tracks the current odds of the stock closing up or down during the specified timeframe. You’ll find a visual representation of where traders are placing their bets, along with the price history showing how the probabilities have shifted over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour volume, currently at $140, indicating the amount of trading activity. Total volume for this market is $140, offering insight into overall interest. This provides a dynamic view of market sentiment.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may provide price targets based on financial modeling, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, representing what traders believe will happen in the short term. Discrepancies can arise due to differing time horizons, access to information, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It's common to see this market react more quickly to breaking news or changing sentiment than traditional analyst reports, offering a real-time assessment of potential stock movement.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the NVIDIA stock will close higher or lower. The price of these contracts directly reflects the probability of each outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe the stock will go up, the higher the price of the 'up' contract, and vice versa. This creates a dynamic pricing mechanism that constantly adjusts to new information and changing sentiment.

This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of NVIDIA stock between 3:15 PM and 3:30 PM ET on October 23rd will determine whether the 'up' or 'down' outcome is declared. The resolution will be based on publicly available data from a reputable financial exchange, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the verified outcome.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 23, 2026. Major catalysts include unexpected earnings reports from NVIDIA, announcements regarding new product launches or partnerships, and broader macroeconomic news impacting the technology sector. Any significant shifts in investor sentiment, potentially triggered by analyst upgrades or downgrades, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, unexpected geopolitical events or major news affecting the overall stock market could indirectly impact the price of NVIDIA stock and, consequently, this market.