TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Number of Elon Musk tweets Oct 12th - Oct 19th 2026
predict

How many tweets will Elon Musk post?

Volume:
$1,200

200-299

 - Predict

200-299 - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 19, 2026

Closed: Oct 19, 12:00 PM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

200-299

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

100-199

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

0-99

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

300-399

View
N/A
N/A
—
$3
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

400-499

View
N/A
N/A
—
$990
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

500+

View
N/A
N/A
—
$990
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Oct 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Oct 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive). **Date Range (Exclusive):** Tweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count. **Posts That Count:** - Main feed posts - Quote posts - Reposts **Replies:** Requirements for rules to count: - The entire "reply chain" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user. - Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count. **Examples:** - Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785) - Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576) - Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133) - Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450) **Additional Rules:** - Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker - Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total - Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total **Resolution Source:** The main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Predict

This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Oct 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Oct 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive). **Date Range (Exclusive):** Tweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count. **Posts That Count:** - Main feed posts - Quote posts - Reposts **Replies:** Requirements for rules to count: - The entire "reply chain" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user. - Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count. **Examples:** - Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785) - Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576) - Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133) - Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450) **Additional Rules:** - Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker - Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total - Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total **Resolution Source:** The main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Elon Musk tweet count tracks the current odds of various outcome ranges for the number of tweets Elon Musk will post between October 12th and October 19th, 2026. You can view the price history, which shows how the probabilities have shifted over time, and the 24-hour volume, currently at $0. The total volume traded on this market is $1,200. This allows users to gauge market sentiment and see which outcomes are currently favored by traders.

Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds offered in this market to traditional analyst forecasts, as predicting Elon Musk’s tweeting behavior is not a common area of professional analysis. However, the market represents a collective prediction from a diverse group of individuals, potentially incorporating factors that analysts might overlook. If polls or surveys were to emerge regarding predictions for the Elon Musk tweet count during this period, it would be interesting to see how closely those align with the probabilities reflected in this market.

On Predict, this market is priced through a demand and supply mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcome ranges for the Elon Musk tweet count. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher probability. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price of each outcome reflects the collective belief of the traders on Predict regarding its likelihood of occurring.

This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of tweets posted by Elon Musk on X (formerly Twitter) between October 12th and October 19th, 2026, is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a publicly available count of his tweets during that specific timeframe. The market will settle to the outcome range that accurately encompasses the final verified tweet count.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any announcements from Elon Musk regarding changes to his social media usage habits, or major events that might capture his attention and prompt increased or decreased tweeting, would likely move the market. Major news events, product launches by Tesla or SpaceX, or significant controversies involving Musk could all serve as catalysts. Unexpected platform outages or changes to X’s API could also influence trading activity in this market.