TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Number of Elon Musk tweets Jul 27th - Aug 3rd 2026
predict

Number of Elon Musk tweets Jul 27th - Aug 3rd 2026

Volume:
$38

500+

 - Predict

500+ - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 3, 2026

Closed: Aug 3, 12:00 PM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

500+

View
2%
Yes 2¢No 98¢
—
$199
$3
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

0-99

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$15
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

300-399

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$4
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

100-199

N/A
N/A
—
$16
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

200-299

N/A
N/A
90¢
$165
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

400-499

N/A
N/A
—
$199
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Jul 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Aug 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive). **Date Range (Exclusive):** Tweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count. **Posts That Count:** - Main feed posts - Quote posts - Reposts **Replies:** Requirements for rules to count: - The entire "reply chain" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user. - Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count. **Examples:** - Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785) - Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576) - Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133) - Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450) **Additional Rules:** - Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker - Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total - Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total **Resolution Source:** The main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Predict

This market will resolve according to the number of times [@elonmusk](https://x.com/elonmusk) posts on X from Jul 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Aug 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive). **Date Range (Exclusive):** Tweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count. **Posts That Count:** - Main feed posts - Quote posts - Reposts **Replies:** Requirements for rules to count: - The entire "reply chain" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user. - Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count. **Examples:** - Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785) - Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576) - Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133) - Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450) **Additional Rules:** - Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker - Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total - Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total **Resolution Source:** The main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/elonmusk](https://predict.fun/x/elonmusk). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, this market reflects trader expectations that the most likely outcome falls within a specific tweet range, though analyst forecasts may vary. Some experts predict higher or lower tweet volumes based on Musk’s recent activity patterns and scheduled events. Comparing this market to those forecasts can reveal whether traders are more bullish or bearish on Musk’s social media engagement over the coming weeks.

This market resolves around Aug 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final count of Elon Musk’s tweets posted between July 27th and August 3rd, 2026 will determine which outcome is correct. No further interpretation is needed beyond the publicly recorded data.

Several signals could shift this market before it closes. Announcements of major product launches, live appearances, or controversies involving Elon Musk may increase tweet volume expectations. Conversely, scheduled travel, quiet periods, or reduced social media engagement could push odds toward lower counts. Any news affecting Musk’s daily routine or platform usage may cause rapid price changes.