TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Number of CZ tweets Oct 12th - Oct 19th 2026
predict

How many tweets will CZ post?

Volume:
$901

31-35

 - Predict

31-35 - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 22, 2026

Closed: Oct 19, 12:00 PM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

31-35

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

26-30

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$198
$301
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

21-25

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$2,094
$300
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

36-40

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$395
$100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

0-5

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

6-10

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

11-15

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

16-20

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

41+

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times [@cz_binance](https://x.com/cz_binance) posts on X from Oct 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Oct 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive). **Date Range (Exclusive):** Tweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count. **Posts That Count:** - Main feed posts - Quote posts - Reposts **Replies:** Requirements for rules to count: - The entire "reply chain" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user. - Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count. **Examples:** - Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785) - Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576) - Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133) - Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450) **Additional Rules:** - Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker - Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total - Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total **Resolution Source:** The main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/cz_binance](https://predict.fun/x/cz_binance). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Predict

This market will resolve according to the number of times [@cz_binance](https://x.com/cz_binance) posts on X from Oct 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET to Oct 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET (exclusive). **Date Range (Exclusive):** Tweets up to the last second before the end date will count. For example, if the market ends at 12:00 PM ET, any tweet up to 11:59:59 AM ET will count, but tweets at or after 12:00:00 PM ET will not count. **Posts That Count:** - Main feed posts - Quote posts - Reposts **Replies:** Requirements for rules to count: - The entire "reply chain" all the way up to the original post MUST belong to the tracked user. - Replies to reposts only count IF the original post is from the same user. Replies to reposts of other users' posts do not count. **Examples:** - Reply to own quote post that counts: [x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785](https://x.com/cz_binance/status/2015101858034110785) - Reply on main feed that counts: [x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576) - Reply chain that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2015300934029484133) - Reply to repost from different user that does not count: [x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2014774464047718450) **Additional Rules:** - Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker - Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker will not count toward the total - Post edits are treated by X as new posts and thus count toward the total **Resolution Source:** The main resolution source for this market will be the 'Tweet Counter' figure for posts found at [predict.fun/x/cz_binance](https://predict.fun/x/cz_binance). If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to specific analyst forecasts, as there are limited public predictions regarding CZ’s tweeting activity during that timeframe. However, prediction markets often aggregate a 'wisdom of the crowd' that can outperform individual expert opinions. If analysts were to predict a certain range of tweets, this market provides a way to see how that expectation translates into actual trading behavior and implied probabilities. Discrepancies between market odds and analyst views could indicate differing levels of confidence or access to relevant information.

On Predict, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – specific ranges of tweet counts – and the prices of these contracts fluctuate based on supply and demand. As more people bet on a certain outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by traders’ individual assessments of the factors that might influence CZ’s Twitter activity, such as major announcements, industry events, or personal preferences. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of participants.

This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of tweets made by CZ between October 12th and October 19th, 2026, is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final count will be determined by an objective tally of his publicly visible tweets during that period. The market will settle to 100% for the outcome that accurately reflects the actual number of tweets, and 0% for all other outcomes. The resolution will be based on publicly available data and will not rely on subjective interpretation.

Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any announcements regarding CZ’s planned activities or travel schedule during that week could influence expectations. Major developments within the cryptocurrency industry, particularly those involving Binance, might prompt increased or decreased Twitter engagement. Unexpected regulatory news or significant market volatility could also lead to changes in the perceived likelihood of different tweet counts. Finally, any personal announcements from CZ himself could have a substantial effect on trading activity in this market.