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Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 12?
polymarket

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 12?

Volume:
$1,283

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 12?

 - Polymarket

Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 12? - Polymarket

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Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 4:17 PM EST

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Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 12?

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,283
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on October 12, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on October 12, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on October 12, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on October 12, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Netflix stock market tracks the current odds of the stock closing up or down on October 12. You'll find a price history showing how the probabilities have shifted over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $1,283. The total volume traded on this market is $1,283. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to Netflix's performance.

Currently, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional analyst forecasts for Netflix. While analysts often provide price targets and ratings, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, reflecting real-money sentiment about the stock's direction. Discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies and information access. If a significant difference exists between this market's implied probability and analyst expectations, it could signal a contrarian trading opportunity or highlight differing interpretations of available data.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether Netflix stock will be up or down on October 12. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of the outcome, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in a positive movement. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price fluctuations are driven by supply and demand, influenced by news, events, and overall market sentiment surrounding Netflix.

This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Netflix stock on October 12 will be used to determine whether the market settles in the 'Up' or 'Down' category. The resolution will be based on official exchange data and widely available financial news sources, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome for all participants in this market.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 12, 2026. Major company announcements from Netflix, such as quarterly earnings reports or subscriber growth figures, will likely have a substantial impact. Broader market trends, particularly those affecting the technology sector, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected news related to competition, regulatory changes, or macroeconomic factors could also drive price movements in this market, as traders adjust their positions based on new information.