TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 26, 9:52 PM EST
Polymarket
Nielsen updates its Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart on Thursdays, reflecting U.S. TV viewership data from the previous week (Monday-Sunday). This market will resolve according to the day of the week on which the edition of NBC Nightly News with the highest number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) aired during the Week of August 17 - August 23, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart. This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution. If Nielsen reports an entry for NBC Nightly News without specifying the day of the week on which it aired, that entry will be treated as having aired on Monday. If the specified show does not appear on the final chart for the specified week, this market will resolve to "Monday". If two or more editions of NBC Nightly News are reported with the same number of viewers, and that figure is the highest reported for the specified week, this market will resolve to the earliest of those days within the Monday-Sunday week. If the data for the specified week is entirely unreleased by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to "Monday". If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point. This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
Nielsen updates its Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart on Thursdays, reflecting U.S. TV viewership data from the previous week (Monday-Sunday). This market will resolve according to the day of the week on which the edition of NBC Nightly News with the highest number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) aired during the Week of August 17 - August 23, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart. This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution. If Nielsen reports an entry for NBC Nightly News without specifying the day of the week on which it aired, that entry will be treated as having aired on Monday. If the specified show does not appear on the final chart for the specified week, this market will resolve to "Monday". If two or more editions of NBC Nightly News are reported with the same number of viewers, and that figure is the highest reported for the specified week, this market will resolve to the earliest of those days within the Monday-Sunday week. If the data for the specified week is entirely unreleased by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to "Monday". If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point. This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
Compared to analyst forecasts, this market often reveals short-term sentiment shifts that formal reports may miss. While analysts may issue weekly or monthly outlooks based on historical trends, traders react instantly to news, social media buzz, or last-minute programming changes. This can create divergence — for example, an unexpected special report could boost interest in a particular night, moving odds faster than any published forecast.
This market resolves around Aug 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final answer will be the calendar day with the highest confirmed viewership numbers for NBC Nightly News during the week of August 17–23, closing all bets on Aug 27, 2026.
News about scheduled special segments, high-profile guest interviews, or competing broadcast events can shift trader sentiment and move this market. Additionally, last-minute programming changes — such as breaking news coverage or technical issues on other nights — may alter expected viewership, creating rapid price swings as participants reassess probabilities ahead of Aug 27, 2026.