TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Microsoft (MSFT) closes week of Sep 21 at ___?
polymarket

How will MSFT close the week of Sep 21?

Volume:
$370

$510-$520

 - Polymarket

$510-$520 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 25, 2026

Closed: Sep 25, 4:18 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$510-$520

View
100%
81%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$490-$500

View
0%
58%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$135
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$480-$490

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<$450

View
0%
56%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$450-$460

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$460-$470

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$470-$480

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$520-$530

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$530-$540

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>$540

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$500-$510

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Microsoft stock market tracks the current odds of various price outcomes for MSFT stock at the close of trading during the week of September 21st. You’ll find a price chart displaying how the probabilities have shifted over time, along with the total volume traded in this market, currently at $370. The 24-hour volume is also displayed, showing $245 in recent trading activity. This provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets on the future price of Microsoft stock.

Currently, the prevailing sentiment in this market suggests a roughly 42% chance that Microsoft will close below $450 by the end of the week of September 21st. This contrasts with typical analyst price targets, which often focus on longer-term projections and may not fully reflect short-term market volatility. While analysts provide fundamental assessments of the company, this market represents a collective, real-time prediction of what will happen with the stock price within a specific timeframe. It's a different approach to forecasting, driven by traders’ willingness to put capital behind their beliefs.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different price outcomes for Microsoft stock. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe Microsoft will close above a certain price, the higher the price of contracts representing that outcome will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment.

This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the closing price of Microsoft (MSFT) stock is verifiable from credible public reporting for the final day of trading during the week of September 21st. The market will reflect whether the stock closed above or below the specified price points as determined by standard financial data sources. The resolution will be based on the official closing price reported by major financial exchanges, providing a clear and objective determination of the market's outcome.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Unexpected earnings announcements from Microsoft, broader macroeconomic news affecting the tech sector, or significant shifts in investor sentiment could all cause price fluctuations. Any major news regarding Microsoft’s key products or services, such as Azure or Office 365, could also move the market. Additionally, general market volatility and trading volume in tech stocks could influence the odds, as traders react to changing conditions and adjust their positions accordingly.