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420,368

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Microsoft Corporation Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
predict

Will MSFT/USDT be up or down on October 23?

Volume:
$612

Microsoft Corporation Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

 - Predict

Microsoft Corporation Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET - Predict

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 9:45 AM EST

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Microsoft Corporation Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$0
$612
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the MSFT/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the MSFT/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the MSFT/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/msft-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink MSFT/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T13:30:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the MSFT/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the MSFT/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the MSFT/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/msft-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink MSFT/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T13:30:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Microsoft stock market tracks the current odds of the stock closing up or down between 9:30 AM and 9:45 AM ET on October 23rd. You’ll find a price history showing how those odds have shifted over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, which is currently $611. The total volume traded on this market is $612. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and see how much activity is occurring before the event.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may provide price targets and ratings based on fundamental and technical analysis, this market represents the collective wisdom of traders betting real money on a short-term price movement. Discrepancies can arise due to differing time horizons, risk tolerance, or the incorporation of information not readily available to analysts. It's common to see this market react quickly to news and events, potentially leading to divergence from established analyst expectations.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the Microsoft stock will close up or down within the specified timeframe. The price of these contracts directly reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe the stock will go up, the higher the price of the 'up' contract will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the latest information and sentiment.

This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether the Microsoft stock price closed higher or lower between 9:30 AM and 9:45 AM ET on October 23rd. The closing price will be sourced from a reputable financial data provider and will serve as the definitive determination of the market's outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the results.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 23, 2026. Unexpected earnings reports, major product announcements from Microsoft, or broader economic news impacting the technology sector could all trigger substantial price swings. Additionally, any significant news related to competitor performance or regulatory changes could influence trader sentiment. Even seemingly minor events, like a prominent analyst's upgrade or downgrade, can impact the market, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly.