TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.2b

24H VOL:

$203,036,808

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,857,846,526

408,774

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,373

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Micron Technology, Inc. Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-10AM ET
predict

Will Micron Technology rise or fall?

Volume:
$456

Micron Technology, Inc. Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-10AM ET

 - Predict

Micron Technology, Inc. Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-10AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 29, 2026

Closed: Oct 29, 10:00 AM EST

predict

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predict

Micron Technology, Inc. Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-10AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$246
$456
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the MU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the MU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the MU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/mu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink MU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-29T13:45:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the MU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the MU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the MU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/mu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink MU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-29T13:45:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Micron stock market tracks the current odds of the stock closing up or down, along with a price history chart showing how those odds have changed over time. You’ll also find the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $456, and the total volume traded to date, which is $456. This allows participants to gauge market sentiment and activity related to Micron’s performance. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likelihood of an increase or decrease in the stock price.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on financial models and company reports, this market incorporates the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly in situations with high uncertainty or where unforeseen events could significantly impact Micron’s stock price. This difference highlights how prediction markets can offer a unique, real-time assessment of potential future movements, distinct from standard financial analysis.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Micron’s stock will close up or down. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, offering a dynamic assessment of the stock’s potential movement. Traders adjust their positions based on new information and their own analysis, leading to a constantly evolving price that represents the collective forecast.

This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether the closing price of Micron Technology, Inc. stock on October 29th, between 9:45 AM and 10:00 AM ET, is higher or lower than its opening price on the same day. The final price will be sourced from standard financial data providers and will be used to determine which side of the market will pay out to winning traders.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 29, 2026. Major catalysts include unexpected earnings reports from Micron, significant announcements regarding the semiconductor industry, or broader macroeconomic factors impacting the technology sector. News related to supply chain disruptions, changes in interest rates, or geopolitical events could also influence trader sentiment and shift the odds. Any substantial news impacting Micron’s financial outlook or competitive position has the potential to create volatility and drive price movements in this market.