TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 11:00 AM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the META/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the META/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the META/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/meta-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink META/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-26T14:45:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the META/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the META/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the META/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/meta-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink META/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-26T14:45:00Z
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on financial modeling and company reports, this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd, factoring in a wider range of information and potential events. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, as prediction markets can react more quickly to news and changing sentiment. The question of whether prediction markets are more accurate than analyst forecasts is a subject of ongoing debate, but they offer a valuable alternative data point for assessing potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Meta Platforms, Inc. stock on October 26th, between 10:45 AM and 11:00 AM Eastern Time, will determine whether the 'up' or 'down' outcome is declared. The resolution will be based on publicly available stock data from a recognized financial exchange and will be verified against credible public sources. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the result.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 26, 2026. Major news regarding Meta's financial performance, such as earnings reports or revenue projections, would likely have a substantial impact. Regulatory developments, announcements about new products or services, and significant shifts in the broader economic climate could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected events, like a major cybersecurity breach or a change in key leadership, could also cause volatility in this market. Overall, any information that alters the perceived future prospects of Meta's stock has the potential to shift the odds.