TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Meta Platforms, Inc. Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
predict

Will Meta Platforms be up or down?

Volume:
$175

Meta Platforms, Inc. Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

 - Predict

Meta Platforms, Inc. Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 3:30 PM EST

predict

Predict

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Outcome
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predict

Meta Platforms, Inc. Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$104
$175
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the META/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the META/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the META/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/meta-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink META/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T19:15:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the META/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the META/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the META/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/meta-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink META/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-23T19:15:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Meta stock market tracks the current odds of the stock closing up or down by the specified time. You'll find the implied probability of each outcome, a price history chart showing how the market has traded over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $173. The total volume traded on this market is $175. This allows traders to quickly assess market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to Meta's stock performance.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may provide price targets and ratings based on fundamental and technical analysis, this market represents the collective wisdom of traders betting real money on the outcome. Discrepancies can arise from differing interpretations of information, risk tolerance, or access to unique insights. It’s common to see this market diverge from consensus analyst expectations, particularly in the short term, as traders react to breaking news and evolving sentiment.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the Meta stock will close higher or lower. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective probability assigned to each outcome. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the market’s expectation, and traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the future price movement of Meta stock.

This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether the Meta Platforms, Inc. stock price closed higher or lower between 3:15 PM and 3:30 PM Eastern Time on October 23rd. The final price will be sourced from a reputable financial data provider, ensuring an objective determination of whether the market resolves to 'Up' or 'Down'.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 23, 2026. Major catalysts include earnings announcements, significant news regarding Meta’s products or services (such as the metaverse or AI initiatives), changes in regulatory landscapes affecting the tech industry, and broader macroeconomic factors like interest rate decisions or inflation reports. Unexpected positive or negative news regarding user growth, revenue projections, or competitive pressures could also cause substantial shifts in trader sentiment and, consequently, the price of contracts in this market.