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Science and Technology
Meta (META) closes above ___ on October 5?
polymarket

Will Meta close above its price on October 5?

Volume:
$7,429

$740

 - Polymarket

$740 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 4:16 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$740

View
100%
78%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,568
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$710

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,752
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$720

View
100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,630
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$730

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$296
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$750

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,184
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on October 5, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on October 5, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Meta stock price market tracks the current implied probability of Meta closing above a certain price on Oct 5, 2026. You’ll find a real-time view of the odds, along with price history charts showing how the market has moved over time. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $5,900, and the total volume traded to date is $7,162. This allows traders to monitor activity and understand market sentiment regarding Meta’s potential performance.

Currently, the implied probability on Polymarket suggests a strong belief that Meta will close above a certain price point on Oct 5, 2026. This differs from traditional analyst forecasts, which often rely on fundamental analysis and financial modeling. While analysts may provide price targets and ratings, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are putting their capital at risk. It’s a different way to gauge expectations, focusing on what participants believe will *actually* happen rather than what *should* happen according to conventional metrics.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether Meta will close above a specified price. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of the event occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price will fluctuate based on supply and demand, driven by new information, investor sentiment, and overall market conditions. Higher demand for shares increases the price, indicating greater confidence in the outcome.

This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Meta stock on that date will be used to determine whether the market resolves in favor of the ‘yes’ or ‘no’ outcome. The resolution will be based on a widely recognized financial data source, ensuring transparency and accuracy. Traders should monitor news and financial reports leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about potential catalysts.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 5, 2026. Major announcements from Meta regarding earnings, new product launches, or changes in company strategy would likely cause price swings. Broader economic news, such as interest rate decisions or shifts in investor sentiment towards the tech sector, could also play a role. Unexpected events, like regulatory changes or significant competitive pressures, could also move the market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential opportunities.