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Science and Technology
Meta (META) closes above ___ on October 12?
polymarket

Meta (META) closes above ___ on October 12?

Volume:
$14,601

$740

 - Polymarket

$740 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 4:26 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$740

View
100%
92%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,724
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$730

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,165
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$710

View
100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$119
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$720

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$91
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$750

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,502
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on October 12, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on October 12, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Meta stock price market tracks the current implied probability of the stock closing above a certain price on October 12, 2026. It also displays the trading volume, which currently stands at $14,601, and the 24-hour volume, at $14,005. You can see how the market’s price has changed over time with the price history chart, providing a visual representation of trader sentiment. This allows you to quickly assess market activity and understand where traders currently believe the stock is headed.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast of whether Meta’s stock will close above a specified price on Oct 12, 2026. This differs from traditional analyst forecasts, which are often based on financial modeling and company reports. While analysts may provide price targets, this market represents a real-money view of future outcomes. Discrepancies between this market and analyst expectations can highlight areas of disagreement or unique insights held by traders, offering a different perspective on potential stock performance.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of the event occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders. Higher demand for shares indicates greater confidence in Meta’s stock closing above the target price, driving the price up and the implied probability higher.

This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Meta stock on that date will be compared to the target price defined within the market. If the stock closes above the target price, the market will resolve in favor of the ‘yes’ outcome; otherwise, it will resolve in favor of the ‘no’ outcome. The resolution will be based on publicly available data from a recognized financial exchange.

Several factors could significantly impact this market between now and Oct 12, 2026. Major earnings reports from Meta, announcements regarding new products or services, and broader economic trends could all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to regulatory changes, competition from other tech companies, or shifts in consumer behavior could also cause the market to move. Additionally, significant macroeconomic events, such as interest rate changes or geopolitical instability, may affect the overall stock market and, consequently, this market.