TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Meta (META) closes above ___ on August 3?
polymarket

Meta (META) closes above ___ on August 3?

Volume:
$2,845

$550

 - Polymarket

$550 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 3, 2026

Closed: Aug 3, 4:16 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$550

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,177
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$560

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$974
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$540

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$452
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$530

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$213
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$520

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$29
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on August 3, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) on August 3, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations. While analysts may incorporate fundamentals, technical analysis, and macro trends, this market incorporates rapid trader reactions to news, sentiment shifts, and short-term technical signals. The current odds show a strong inclination toward one outcome, but trader sentiment can pivot quickly based on new information or market movements.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders set the price through their bets, with the market’s odds adjusting based on buying and selling activity. The current top outcome reflects the collective assessment of participants about Meta’s likely closing price on August 3. Liquidity and volume influence how smoothly prices adjust, and any significant trading volume can shift the odds toward the outcome favored by larger bets.

This market resolves around Aug 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. On that date, Meta’s official closing price will be checked against the target level, and the market will settle based on whether the price ended above or below the specified threshold. No further interpretation or judgment is needed — the result is binary and straightforward.

Several signals could shift this market before it resolves, including major earnings reports, product announcements, regulatory news, or broader market volatility affecting tech stocks. Traders will also watch key economic indicators, sector performance, and any high-impact geopolitical events that might influence investor sentiment toward Meta. Sudden shifts in trading volume or large bets from institutional participants can also cause rapid movements in the odds.