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Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?
polymarket

Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?

Volume:
$14,696

2850+

 - Polymarket

2850+ - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 1, 2026

Closed: Sep 1, 2:04 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

2850+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,387
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2900+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,141
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2800+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,802
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2825+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,759
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2950+

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,608
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the U.S. measles outbreak market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $3,740. It shows how traders on Polymarket are pricing the likelihood of different case numbers by the end of August. The interface updates continuously to reflect market activity and can help you gauge sentiment around this public health event.

This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Official health data releases from recognized agencies will settle the market, reflecting the actual number of reported measles cases in the U.S. by that date. No further interpretation is needed beyond the published figures.

Key signals include public health announcements, changes in vaccination campaigns, reported spikes in regional cases, or policy decisions affecting immune coverage. Media coverage of outbreaks and official updates from health departments can cause rapid shifts. Traders will also watch for any unexpected events—such as importations of the virus or changes in travel restrictions—that could alter the trajectory of this market before Sep 1, 2026.