Lowest temperature in Seoul on June 8?

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the lowest temperature in Seoul on June 8 is priced through outcome shares that reflect trader belief in each temperature bracket. Each share trades at a price between 0 and 1, with the sum of all outcome prices equaling 1. Traders buy shares in temperature ranges they expect to occur, and the price of each outcome adjusts in real time based on order flow and liquidity. Higher prices indicate stronger market conviction; lower prices suggest skepticism. The final settlement price depends on which outcome resolves true on the reference date.

The market resolves on Jun 8, 2026, after the lowest temperature in Seoul on June 8 has been recorded. Resolution is determined by official meteorological data from Seoul's primary weather station or national weather service. The outcome is the minimum temperature reading for that calendar day, typically measured in degrees Celsius. Once the official figure is published and verified, the correct outcome shares are paid out at full value and all others expire worthless. Traders should monitor official Korean Meteorological Administration announcements for the final recorded low.

Major weather pattern shifts, seasonal anomalies, and updated long-range forecasts from meteorological agencies can move odds significantly. Early June in Seoul typically sees warming trends; any forecast of an unusual cold front or low-pressure system would push odds toward lower temperatures. Real-time weather model updates, atmospheric pressure changes, and ocean temperature anomalies in the region influence trader expectations. As June 8 approaches, daily forecasts become more precise, causing sharper repricing. Traders also react to historical precedent—unusually cold or warm June 8 dates in prior years may anchor sentiment.