TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

24H VOL:

$185,665,189

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,833,875,329

407,365

Markets across

40,470

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,365

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Seattle on Oct 21, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Seattle on Oct 21, 2026?

Volume:
$16,953

42° to 43°

 - Kalshi

42° to 43° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 22, 2026

Closed: Oct 22, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

42° to 43°

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,430
N/A
N/A
$3,084
Settled
Yes
kalshi

44° to 45°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,410
N/A
N/A
$5,105
Settled
No
kalshi

38° to 39°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,663
N/A
N/A
$2,208
Settled
No
kalshi

40° to 41°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,709
N/A
N/A
$1,641
Settled
No
kalshi

46° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,443
N/A
N/A
$1,413
Settled
No
kalshi

37° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,300
N/A
N/A
$1,206
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Seattle on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends on where the temperature falls within predefined ranges, reflecting varied weather conditions for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at Seattle (CLISEA) on October 21, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 37°F or below, 38-39°F, 40-41°F, 42-43°F, 44-45°F, or above 45°F. The Weather Company’s data is the sole authority for resolution. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, and users should exercise caution when interpreting it. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, it may delay expiration until a corrected revision is published or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no data is available by the expiration date, markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is for convenience and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential revisions.