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Lowest temperature in Seattle on Jun 3, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Seattle on Jun 3, 2026?

Volume:
$3,023

56° to 57°

 - Kalshi

56° to 57° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 4, 2026

Closed: Jun 4, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

56° to 57°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$422
N/A
N/A
$317
Settled
Yes
kalshi

60° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$849
N/A
N/A
$670
Settled
No
kalshi

54° to 55°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$486
N/A
N/A
$382
Settled
No
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$468
N/A
N/A
$468
Settled
No
kalshi

58° to 59°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$462
N/A
N/A
$432
Settled
No
kalshi

51° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$335
N/A
N/A
$330
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

The overnight low temperature in Seattle on June 3, 2026, will be recorded by the National Weather Service.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect aggregated trader beliefs about Seattle's June 3rd low temperature, often differing from traditional meteorological forecasts issued by the National Weather Service or private weather services. Markets price in uncertainty and real-time information, while analyst forecasts rely on historical climate data and seasonal patterns. As the event date approaches, meteorologists will issue more precise short-range forecasts; comparing those official predictions to market odds reveals whether traders are pricing in warmer, cooler, or similar conditions. Significant divergence between the two may indicate traders have access to emerging weather signals.

The market resolves on Jun 4, 2026, after the lowest temperature recorded in Seattle on June 3, 2026 is officially confirmed. Resolution depends on the actual minimum temperature observed that day, which is compared against the outcome thresholds defined in each contract. Once the official low is recorded and verified, the market settles to reflect which temperature range or outcome occurred. Traders should monitor weather data sources and official records as the event date approaches to understand how the settlement will be determined.

Several factors could shift market odds for Seattle's June 3rd low temperature. Major weather pattern changes—such as a cold front moving into the Pacific Northwest or a warm high-pressure system—would significantly alter trader expectations. Updated seasonal forecasts from meteorological agencies and real-time atmospheric data closer to June will influence pricing. El Niño or La Niña conditions, ocean temperatures, and jet stream positioning all affect early June weather in Seattle. As the date approaches, short-range forecasts become more reliable, typically causing odds to converge toward the meteorologically expected outcome. Unusual climate events or sudden pattern shifts could create trading opportunities.