TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 4, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
The overnight low temperature in Seattle on June 3, 2026, will be recorded by the National Weather Service.
The market resolves on Jun 4, 2026, after the lowest temperature recorded in Seattle on June 3, 2026 is officially confirmed. Resolution depends on the actual minimum temperature observed that day, which is compared against the outcome thresholds defined in each contract. Once the official low is recorded and verified, the market settles to reflect which temperature range or outcome occurred. Traders should monitor weather data sources and official records as the event date approaches to understand how the settlement will be determined.
Several factors could shift market odds for Seattle's June 3rd low temperature. Major weather pattern changes—such as a cold front moving into the Pacific Northwest or a warm high-pressure system—would significantly alter trader expectations. Updated seasonal forecasts from meteorological agencies and real-time atmospheric data closer to June will influence pricing. El Niño or La Niña conditions, ocean temperatures, and jet stream positioning all affect early June weather in Seattle. As the date approaches, short-range forecasts become more reliable, typically causing odds to converge toward the meteorologically expected outcome. Unusual climate events or sudden pattern shifts could create trading opportunities.