TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Seattle on Aug 8, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Seattle on Aug 8, 2026?

Volume:
$15,522

58° to 59°

 - Kalshi

58° to 59° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 9, 2026

Closed: Aug 9, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

58° to 59°

View
100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,643
N/A
N/A
$5,707
Settled
Yes
kalshi

60° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,138
N/A
N/A
$1,799
Settled
No
kalshi

56° to 57°

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,779
N/A
N/A
$2,149
Settled
No
kalshi

54° to 55°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$594
N/A
N/A
$503
Settled
No
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$264
N/A
N/A
$263
Settled
No
kalshi

51° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$104
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Seattle on a specific date, using official government data. Participants assess the likelihood of different temperature ranges based on historical trends and forecasts. The outcome depends solely on the official National Weather Service report for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded in Seattle on August 8, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 51° or below, 52-53°, 54-55°, 56-57°, 58-59°, or 60° and above. The National Weather Service's report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date in question. While preliminary data from other services may offer guidance, only the NWS report determines the resolution. Traders should be aware that NWS data may include rounding and conversion nuances, and reports across different cities may update at varying frequencies, requiring careful verification of the official Seattle-Tacoma, WA Daily Climate Report.