TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Lowest temperature in Seattle on Aug 3, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Seattle on Aug 3, 2026?

Volume:
$5,894

53° to 54°

 - Kalshi

53° to 54° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 4, 2026

Closed: Aug 4, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

53° to 54°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,954
N/A
N/A
$2,330
Settled
Yes
kalshi

51° to 52°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,393
N/A
N/A
$853
Settled
No
kalshi

55° or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,185
N/A
N/A
$634
Settled
No
kalshi

49° to 50°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$220
N/A
N/A
$212
Settled
No
kalshi

47° to 48°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$127
N/A
N/A
$121
Settled
No
kalshi

46° or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16
N/A
N/A
$16
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Seattle on a specific future date, using official government data. The outcome depends entirely on the exact temperature reading reported by the National Weather Service after the event occurs.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded in Seattle on August 3, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for Seattle-Tacoma, WA. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 46°F or below, 47-48°F, 49-50°F, 51-52°F, 53-54°F, or 55°F and above. The exact temperature value from the official report determines which market resolves to 'Yes,' with all others resolving to 'No.' Traders must use the latest version of the NWS data after August 3, 2026, as different reporting frequencies may affect data availability. While third-party weather services may provide estimates, only the NWS report serves as the binding authority for resolution, and users should be aware that preliminary data may contain rounding or conversion discrepancies that could affect interpretation.