TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?

Volume:
$5,235

61° or above

 - Kalshi

61° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 9, 2026

Closed: Sep 9, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

61° or above

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,558
N/A
N/A
$2,009
Settled
Yes
kalshi

59° to 60°

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,797
N/A
N/A
$1,357
Settled
No
kalshi

57° to 58°

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$646
N/A
N/A
$457
Settled
No
kalshi

55° to 56°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$114
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
kalshi

53° to 54°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$81
N/A
N/A
$81
Settled
No
kalshi

52° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$40
N/A
N/A
$40
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather provider. Participants can speculate on whether temperatures will fall within certain ranges, helping to assess climate expectations for that day.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) on September 8, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six separate outcome ranges are defined, each corresponding to a specific temperature band: 52° or below, 53-54°, 55-56°, 57-58°, 59-60°, and 61° or above. The official data source is The Weather Company, and all participants must rely solely on its reported values, even if other weather services show different figures. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion discrepancies, so caution is advised when interpreting early readings. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initially published data before the expiration date, it may delay resolution until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date itself. Should no valid data be available by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. The status of “Final” on The Weather Company’s platform is for convenience only and does not guarantee immunity from errors or adjustments.