TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 15, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 15, 2026?

Volume:
$2,393

56° to 57°

 - Kalshi

56° to 57° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 16, 2026

Closed: Sep 16, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

56° to 57°

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$806
N/A
N/A
$685
Settled
Yes
kalshi

54° to 55°

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$951
N/A
N/A
$860
Settled
No
kalshi

58° to 59°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$415
N/A
N/A
$354
Settled
No
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$118
N/A
N/A
$118
Settled
No
kalshi

60° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$57
N/A
N/A
$57
Settled
No
kalshi

51° or below

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$46
N/A
N/A
$46
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific date, using data from a designated weather provider. Participants assess the likelihood of different temperature ranges being reached during that day.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded in San Francisco (CLISFO) on September 15, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature range markets exist, each corresponding to a specific interval: 51° or below, 52-53°, 54-55°, 56-57°, 58-59°, and 60° or above. The market that matches the actual recorded minimum temperature range will resolve to 'Yes,' with all others resolving to 'No.' All markets share common secondary rules regarding data verification and error handling. The Weather Company’s reported value is the sole authority, even if other sources show different data. Preliminary readings may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, so users should exercise caution. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial non-preliminary data, it may delay expiration until a corrected version is published or until the expiration date arrives, whichever comes first. Should no data remain available by the expiration date, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. A 'Final' status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt the market from these error-resolution procedures.