Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Jun 2, 2026?

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the lowest temperature in San Francisco on June 2 is priced through binary or range-based contracts that reflect trader consensus on specific temperature thresholds. Prices move based on order flow, with buyers and sellers negotiating implied probabilities for outcomes such as below 55°F, 55–65°F, or above 65°F. Kalshi's pricing mechanism ties directly to real-time supply and demand; as traders update their views on June weather patterns, contract prices adjust accordingly. The platform settles against official temperature data, ensuring transparent and verifiable outcomes tied to actual meteorological records.

Several factors could shift market prices for San Francisco's June 2 low temperature. Seasonal climate forecasts, El Niño or La Niña patterns, and long-range atmospheric models published by NOAA or international meteorological centers often trigger repricing. As June approaches, updated medium-range forecasts from the National Weather Service become more reliable and can cause sharp price moves. Historical temperature anomalies, urban heat island effects, and any unusual weather systems developing in late May will influence trader positioning. Real-time weather alerts and model consensus shifts in the final week before June 2 typically drive the most volatile trading activity.