TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Aug 4, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Aug 4, 2026?

Volume:
$4,053

57° to 58°

 - Kalshi

57° to 58° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 5, 2026

Closed: Aug 5, 4:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

57° to 58°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,327
N/A
N/A
$1,508
Settled
Yes
kalshi

59° to 60°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$744
N/A
N/A
$672
Settled
No
kalshi

55° to 56°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$691
N/A
N/A
$333
Settled
No
kalshi

53° to 54°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$147
N/A
N/A
$147
Settled
No
kalshi

52° or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$83
N/A
N/A
$78
Settled
No
kalshi

61° or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$61
N/A
N/A
$52
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in San Francisco on a specific future date, using official government data sources. Participants assess probable weather conditions based on historical trends and forecasts. The outcome depends solely on the verified minimum temperature for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based exclusively on the official minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco Airport on August 4, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 52°F or below, 53-54°F, 55-56°F, 57-58°F, 59-60°F, or 61°F and above. The resolving authority will access the latest version of the data via the provided NWS URL, navigating to the 'Observed Weather' tab and selecting the San Francisco Airport location with the Daily Climate Report option. Traders must recognize that preliminary data from other services may differ, and only the final NWS report determines resolution. Rounding and conversion nuances in the original data may affect borderline cases, so participants should exercise caution when interpreting early or unofficial readings.