TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 15, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 15, 2026?

Volume:
$12,950

83° to 84°

 - Kalshi

83° to 84° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 16, 2026

Closed: Sep 16, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

83° to 84°

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,193
N/A
N/A
$4,110
Settled
Yes
kalshi

85° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,007
N/A
N/A
$2,356
Settled
No
kalshi

76° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,697
N/A
N/A
$928
Settled
No
kalshi

81° to 82°

0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,409
N/A
N/A
$930
Settled
No
kalshi

77° to 78°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$907
N/A
N/A
$509
Settled
No
kalshi

79° to 80°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$736
N/A
N/A
$538
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Phoenix on a specific date in the future, using data from a designated weather provider. Participants can speculate on whether the temperature will fall within certain ranges, helping to assess potential climate conditions for that day.

Kalshi

The event determines the outcome based on the minimum temperature recorded in Phoenix on September 15, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range, with one market resolving if the temperature is 76°F or below, another for 77-78°F, and so on, up to a final market for temperatures above 84°F. The official data source is The Weather Company, and any preliminary readings should be interpreted cautiously due to possible rounding or conversion differences. If a material error is identified in the initial data publication, the exchange reserves the right to delay expiration until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by the exchange. The 'Final' status on the weather website is for convenience and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt the event from these error-resolution procedures.