TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets assesses the likelihood of specific temperature ranges being recorded as the lowest temperature in Newark on a particular date in 2026. Each market corresponds to a different temperature band, allowing participants to evaluate the probability of various cooling scenarios.
All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded at Newark (CLIEWR) on September 24, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 47° or below, 48-49°, 50-51°, 52-53°, 54-55°, or 56° and above. If the recorded minimum temperature falls within a market's specified range, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The Weather Company's data is the sole authority for resolution, and preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion. If a material error is identified in the initial publication, the Exchange may delay expiration until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no data remains available by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential revisions.