TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

24H VOL:

$181,481,432

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,827,991,073

405,996

Markets across

40,551

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,368

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 6, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 6, 2026?

Volume:
$11,373

47° to 48°

 - Kalshi

47° to 48° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 7, 2026

Closed: Oct 7, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

47° to 48°

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,590
N/A
N/A
$1,247
Settled
Yes
kalshi

49° to 50°

0%
59%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,879
N/A
N/A
$5,466
Settled
No
kalshi

51° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,436
N/A
N/A
$1,286
Settled
No
kalshi

45° to 46°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,368
N/A
N/A
$1,110
Settled
No
kalshi

43° to 44°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$896
N/A
N/A
$620
Settled
No
kalshi

42° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$203
N/A
N/A
$203
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific date, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends on where the temperature falls within predefined ranges, offering various possibilities for how cold the city will be on that day.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded in New York City on October 6, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 42° or below, 43-44°, 45-46°, 47-48°, 49-50°, and 51° or above. The official data source is The Weather Company, and users should be cautious with preliminary readings due to potential rounding or conversion differences. If a material error is identified in the initial data publication, the exchange may delay resolution until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by the exchange. The "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational and does not guarantee error-free data.