TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

24H VOL:

$172,394,893

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,821,572,886

404,136

Markets across

40,075

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,369

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 15, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 15, 2026?

Volume:
$24,753

54° to 55°

 - Kalshi

54° to 55° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 16, 2026

Closed: Oct 16, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

54° to 55°

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,198
N/A
N/A
$2,578
Settled
Yes
kalshi

56° to 57°

0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,070
N/A
N/A
$10,938
Settled
No
kalshi

58° to 59°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,666
N/A
N/A
$4,662
Settled
No
kalshi

52° to 53°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,779
N/A
N/A
$2,742
Settled
No
kalshi

60° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$532
N/A
N/A
$453
Settled
No
kalshi

51° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$508
N/A
N/A
$496
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific date, using data from a designated weather provider. Participants can assess various temperature ranges to predict the outcome based on historical trends and seasonal forecasts.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the minimum temperature recorded in New York City on October 15, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range, and the market associated with the actual recorded temperature will resolve to 'Yes,' with all others resolving to 'No.' All markets share common secondary rules regarding data verification and error handling. If The Weather Company data contains a material error before publication, the Exchange may delay resolution until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date. If no valid data is available by the expiration date, markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. The 'Final' status on The Weather Company's platform is informational and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from these error-resolution procedures.