TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in New York City on Jul 16, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New York City on Jul 16, 2026?

Volume:
$30,502

74° to 75°

 - Kalshi

74° to 75° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 17, 2026

Closed: Jul 17, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

74° to 75°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,972
N/A
N/A
$4,772
Settled
Yes
kalshi

72° to 73°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,819
N/A
N/A
$3,643
Settled
No
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,835
N/A
N/A
$5,466
Settled
No
kalshi

71° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,562
N/A
N/A
$4,260
Settled
No
kalshi

78° to 79°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,913
N/A
N/A
$2,436
Settled
No
kalshi

80° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,400
N/A
N/A
$1,278
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This market tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New York City on July 16, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the official National Weather Service Climatological Report for that date, with resolution based on which temperature range the recorded minimum falls into.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the minimum temperature recorded at Central Park, NY on July 16, 2026, according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The official data source is accessed via the NWS New York office website under the Observed Weather tab for Central Park NY. Temperature ranges are divided into six bands: 71°F or below, 72-73°F, 74-75°F, 76-77°F, 78-79°F, and 80°F or above. Each range corresponds to a distinct market outcome. Traders should note that preliminary NWS data may be subject to rounding and conversion nuances, and the final official NWS Climatological Report (Daily) is the authoritative source, superseding other weather services.