TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in New York City on Aug 5, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New York City on Aug 5, 2026?

Volume:
$24,892

69° to 70°

 - Kalshi

69° to 70° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 6, 2026

Closed: Aug 6, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

69° to 70°

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,570
N/A
N/A
$4,723
Settled
Yes
kalshi

71° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,698
N/A
N/A
$9,976
Settled
No
kalshi

67° to 68°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,963
N/A
N/A
$1,678
Settled
No
kalshi

65° to 66°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,124
N/A
N/A
$412
Settled
No
kalshi

63° to 64°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,088
N/A
N/A
$856
Settled
No
kalshi

62° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$448
N/A
N/A
$419
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific date, using official government data as the sole source for verification. Participants assess whether conditions will fall within certain temperature ranges based on authoritative meteorological reports.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at Central Park NY on August 5, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 62°F or below, 63-64°F, 65-66°F, 67-68°F, 69-70°F, or above 70°F. The NWS report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available after the date in question. While preliminary data from other services may provide guidance, only the NWS report determines resolution. Traders should be aware that NWS data may include rounding and conversion nuances, and reports across cities may update at different frequencies, requiring careful verification of the official Central Park NY data point.