TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in New York City on Aug 11, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New York City on Aug 11, 2026?

Volume:
$22,475

71° to 72°

 - Kalshi

71° to 72° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 12, 2026

Closed: Aug 12, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

71° to 72°

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,023
N/A
N/A
$3,769
Settled
Yes
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,172
N/A
N/A
$3,747
Settled
No
kalshi

69° to 70°

0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,982
N/A
N/A
$2,120
Settled
No
kalshi

68° or below

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,797
N/A
N/A
$3,048
Settled
No
kalshi

77° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,811
N/A
N/A
$1,560
Settled
No
kalshi

75° to 76°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,690
N/A
N/A
$1,395
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific date, using official government data. The outcome depends on where the exact minimum temperature falls within predefined ranges, reflecting how precise meteorological measurements can influence real-world assessments.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at Central Park NY on August 11, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 68°F or below, 69–70°F, 71–72°F, 73–74°F, 75–76°F, or above 76°F. The exact temperature value determines which market resolves to 'Yes,' with all others resolving to 'No.' Traders must reference the official NWS data linked in the rules, as preliminary or third-party reports are not authoritative. Due to potential rounding and conversion nuances in preliminary NWS data, participants should exercise caution and rely only on the final, published report for resolution.