TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in New Orleans on Jun 4, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New Orleans on Jun 4, 2026?

Volume:
$6,488

75° to 76°

 - Kalshi

75° to 76° - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 5, 2026

Closed: Jun 5, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

75° to 76°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,480
N/A
N/A
$876
Settled
Yes
kalshi

77° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,720
N/A
N/A
$2,483
Settled
No
kalshi

71° to 72°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$785
N/A
N/A
$576
Settled
No
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$759
N/A
N/A
$461
Settled
No
kalshi

68° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$398
N/A
N/A
$397
Settled
No
kalshi

69° to 70°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$346
N/A
N/A
$327
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

The overnight low temperature in New Orleans on June 4, 2026, will be recorded according to the National Weather Service's official daily climatological report.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the lowest temperature in New Orleans on June 4, 2026 is priced as a binary or range-based contract reflecting trader consensus on the likely minimum temperature. Prices move based on supply and demand from participants betting on warmer or cooler outcomes. Kalshi's order book shows bid-ask spreads that tighten or widen depending on trading volume and event proximity. As June 4 approaches, pricing typically becomes more precise as real-time weather data and forecasts sharpen market expectations around the actual low temperature.

Several factors could shift odds for the lowest temperature in New Orleans on June 4, 2026. Major weather pattern changes, such as cold fronts or tropical systems moving into the Gulf region, would significantly impact pricing. Updated seasonal forecasts and long-range weather models released closer to June could alter trader expectations. Real-time atmospheric data, jet stream positioning, and sea surface temperatures in the Gulf of Mexico all influence low-temperature outcomes. Additionally, any anomalous climate events or sudden shifts in spring weather patterns could prompt rapid repricing as the event date nears.