TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in New Orleans on Jul 28, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in New Orleans on Jul 28, 2026?

Volume:
$9,370

79° to 80°

 - Kalshi

79° to 80° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 29, 2026

Closed: Jul 29, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

79° to 80°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,875
N/A
N/A
$2,144
Settled
Yes
kalshi

81° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,872
N/A
N/A
$1,910
Settled
No
kalshi

77° to 78°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,306
N/A
N/A
$1,616
Settled
No
kalshi

75° to 76°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$153
N/A
N/A
$150
Settled
No
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$149
N/A
N/A
$138
Settled
No
kalshi

72° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in New Orleans on a specific future date, using official government data. Participants assess climate conditions and historical trends to predict the night's coldest point. The outcome depends solely on the official temperature report published after the date in question.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based exclusively on the minimum temperature recorded in New Orleans, LA on July 28, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's official Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 73°F, 73-74°F, 75-76°F, 77-78°F, 79-80°F, or above 80°F. Traders must reference the official NWS data available at the provided URL, navigating to the 'Observed Weather' tab and selecting 'New Orleans, LA' with the Daily Climate Report option. The most current version of the report for the specified date should be used, acknowledging that update frequencies may vary by location. While third-party weather services may offer preliminary guidance, they are not authoritative; only the NWS report determines resolution. Preliminary NWS data may contain rounding or conversion nuances, so caution is advised in interpretation before the final report is published.