TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

24H VOL:

$172,394,893

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,821,572,886

404,136

Markets across

40,075

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,369

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 20, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Oct 20, 2026?

Volume:
$10,834

46° to 47°

 - Kalshi

46° to 47° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 21, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

46° to 47°

View
100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,972
N/A
N/A
$2,876
Settled
Yes
kalshi

44° to 45°

0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,301
N/A
N/A
$1,856
Settled
No
kalshi

48° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,912
N/A
N/A
$1,891
Settled
No
kalshi

39° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,307
N/A
N/A
$1,307
Settled
No
kalshi

40° to 41°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,203
N/A
N/A
$1,200
Settled
No
kalshi

42° to 43°

0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,140
N/A
N/A
$1,134
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Minneapolis on a specific future date, using data from a designated weather provider. The outcome depends entirely on the official temperature reading reported by The Weather Company for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the minimum temperature recorded in Minneapolis (CLIMSP) on October 20, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 39°F or below, 40-41°F, 42-43°F, 44-45°F, 46-47°F, or 48°F and above. The official data source is The Weather Company, and while other weather services may show similar data, they do not affect the resolution. Preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion issues, so participants should exercise caution. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial data publication, it may delay resolution until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date. If no data remains available by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is informational only and does not guarantee error-free data.