TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Aug 3, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Minneapolis on Aug 3, 2026?

Volume:
$6,491

68° or above

 - Kalshi

68° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 4, 2026

Closed: Aug 4, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

68° or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,955
N/A
N/A
$3,082
Settled
Yes
kalshi

66° to 67°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$454
N/A
N/A
$373
Settled
No
kalshi

62° to 63°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$417
N/A
N/A
$409
Settled
No
kalshi

60° to 61°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$360
N/A
N/A
$357
Settled
No
kalshi

64° to 65°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$158
N/A
N/A
$148
Settled
No
kalshi

59° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$146
N/A
N/A
$146
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Minneapolis on a specific date, using official government data as the sole source for verification. Participants assess temperature ranges to determine the outcome based on precise meteorological reporting.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded for Minneapolis on August 3, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 59° or below, 60-61°, 62-63°, 64-65°, 66-67°, or 68° and above. The exact temperature value from the NWS report determines which market resolves to 'Yes,' with all other markets resolving to 'No.' Traders must reference the official NWS data linked in the rules, as preliminary or third-party weather sources are not considered valid for resolution. It is important to note that NWS data may undergo revisions, and participants should use the latest available report for the date in question. Rounding and conversion nuances in the reporting process may affect interpretations, so caution is advised when analyzing preliminary data.