TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Miami on Jul 31, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Miami on Jul 31, 2026?

Volume:
$38,093

81° or above

 - Kalshi

81° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 1, 2026

Closed: Aug 1, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

81° or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,976
N/A
N/A
$8,017
Settled
Yes
kalshi

79° to 80°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,043
N/A
N/A
$2,805
Settled
No
kalshi

77° to 78°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,378
N/A
N/A
$2,261
Settled
No
kalshi

75° to 76°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,008
N/A
N/A
$2,301
Settled
No
kalshi

73° to 74°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,678
N/A
N/A
$2,235
Settled
No
kalshi

72° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,010
N/A
N/A
$1,880
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Miami on a specific date, using official government data. The outcome depends on where the exact minimum temperature falls within predefined ranges, reflecting weather conditions for that day.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at Miami on July 31, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 72°F or below, 73-74°F, 75-76°F, 77-78°F, 79-80°F, or above 80°F. The National Weather Service's data is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available from the specified URL. Preliminary data from other services may differ due to rounding or conversion nuances, so only the official NWS report determines the resolution. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, ensuring exactly one will resolve as 'Yes' based on where the actual temperature falls within these ranges.