TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Miami on Jul 17, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Miami on Jul 17, 2026?

Volume:
$54,897

74° or below

 - Kalshi

74° or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 18, 2026

Closed: Jul 18, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

74° or below

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,687
N/A
N/A
$3,875
Settled
Yes
kalshi

79° to 80°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,221
N/A
N/A
$25,146
Settled
No
kalshi

81° to 82°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,225
N/A
N/A
$12,269
Settled
No
kalshi

75° to 76°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,660
N/A
N/A
$3,847
Settled
No
kalshi

83° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,210
N/A
N/A
$3,010
Settled
No
kalshi

77° to 78°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,894
N/A
N/A
$1,541
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This market tracks the overnight low temperature in Miami on July 17, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the official National Weather Service daily climatological report for that date, which records the minimum temperature reached during the 24-hour observation period.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the minimum temperature recorded at Miami on July 17, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily) for the Miami office. The official data source is accessed via the NWS Miami regional office climate portal, selecting the "Observed Weather" tab and Miami, FL location with Daily Climate Report. The minimum temperature is divided into six distinct ranges: 74°F or below, 75-76°F, 77-78°F, 79-80°F, 81-82°F, and 83°F or above. Each range corresponds to a separate market outcome that resolves to Yes if the recorded temperature falls within that bracket. Traders should note that preliminary NWS data may be subject to rounding and conversion nuances, and the final official NWS Climatological Report (Daily) serves as the authoritative source, superseding other weather services.