TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Lowest temperature in Miami on Aug 2, 2026?
kalshi

Lowest temperature in Miami on Aug 2, 2026?

Volume:
$25,932

78° to 79°

 - Kalshi

78° to 79° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 3, 2026

Closed: Aug 3, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

78° to 79°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,093
N/A
N/A
$5,365
Settled
Yes
kalshi

80° to 81°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,028
N/A
N/A
$3,316
Settled
No
kalshi

82° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,348
N/A
N/A
$2,526
Settled
No
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,038
N/A
N/A
$1,815
Settled
No
kalshi

74° to 75°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,308
N/A
N/A
$1,742
Settled
No
kalshi

73° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,117
N/A
N/A
$1,698
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the lowest temperature recorded in Miami on a specific date, using official government data. Participants assess whether conditions will fall within certain temperature ranges based on authoritative weather reports.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the official minimum temperature recorded at Miami on August 2, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 73°F or below, 74-75°F, 76-77°F, 78-79°F, 80-81°F, or above 81°F. The National Weather Service's report is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version available for the date. While preliminary data from other services may offer guidance, only the NWS report determines resolution. Traders should be aware that NWS data may include rounding and conversion nuances, requiring careful interpretation of the final reported value to determine which temperature range applies.